Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 3.889453 4.156666 4.441779 4.770129 5.139740 5.545194 6.026733
2025-09-14 3.370168 3.724954 4.125433 4.616338 5.209527 5.913566 6.828916
2025-09-21 3.073334 3.468187 3.929962 4.519566 5.267320 6.206316 7.513971
2025-09-28 2.871116 3.291993 3.797926 4.465270 5.345973 6.506507 8.225174
2025-10-05 2.744017 3.190818 3.741263 4.489212 5.513840 6.928627 9.158588
2025-10-12 2.657685 3.130453 3.726257 4.558856 5.741435 7.452459 10.331102
2025-10-19 2.582627 3.076990 3.712800 4.624348 5.963601 7.990803 11.633914
2025-10-26 2.503328 3.011533 3.676599 4.651556 6.127686 8.456387 12.914185
2025-11-02 2.414590 2.927637 3.608614 4.625439 6.204463 8.786210 14.018158
2025-11-09 2.300734 2.803981 3.478217 4.497416 6.107502 8.805918 14.501543
2025-11-16 2.211433 2.709445 3.383135 4.414618 6.073842 8.929346 15.233907
2025-11-23 2.166827 2.673761 3.368525 4.451037 6.236573 9.427182 16.954163
2025-11-30 2.106010 2.616209 3.324143 4.445832 6.341808 9.859644 18.755423
2025-12-07 2.010059 2.506168 3.199228 4.307579 6.206859 9.807392 19.295393
2025-12-14 1.935872 2.423783 3.110701 4.221050 6.154398 9.914030 20.333110
2025-12-21 1.877515 2.361449 3.048573 4.172430 6.164458 10.151803 21.877791
2025-12-28 1.841752 2.329878 3.030478 4.193874 6.304388 10.694809 24.724276
2026-01-04 1.818687 2.315479 3.037156 4.256207 6.527321 11.471476 29.009739
2026-01-11 1.795997 2.300488 3.041793 4.314765 6.748980 12.297162 34.347494
2026-01-18 1.766565 2.274263 3.027482 4.339076 6.904126 12.993537 39.977141
2026-01-25 1.728041 2.233069 2.987733 4.315741 6.957890 13.433720 44.873473
2026-02-01 1.671351 2.162955 2.899603 4.201220 6.808351 13.279965 45.915140
2026-02-08 1.626190 2.109034 2.835536 4.127037 6.740022 13.351526 48.725847